A country's value can increase on a percentage measure while keeping exactly the same map color. Here is a small reproducible example of why.
These are invented values for four fictional countries, not observations about real places:
| Country |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
| A |
20% |
45% |
| B |
40% |
65% |
| C |
60% |
85% |
| D |
80% |
95% |
Suppose each map uses four quantile classes, recalculated separately for its year, with the same light-to-dark palette. With four distinct values and four classes, each country occupies one class. A is lightest in both years; D is darkest in both. Every country increases, but the color pattern stays identical.
The colors describe position within each year's distribution. They cannot, by themselves, show whether the underlying percentages increased.
For a comparison of levels over time, try one set of numerical boundaries for both maps:
- Lightest: 0% to less than 25%
- Next: 25% to less than 50%
- Next: 50% to less than 75%
- Darkest: 75% to 100%
Now A moves from the first class to the second, B from the second to the third, and C from the third to the fourth. D stays in the fourth despite increasing by 15 percentage points. Fixed classes make colors comparable, but still hide changes within a class.
A useful companion is a small change chart: A +25, B +25, C +25, D +15 percentage points. That answers a different question from either level map.
Before publishing a pair of maps, I would check:
- Does the same shade mean the same numerical range in both panels?
- Are the indicator definition, units and geographic boundaries comparable?
- Is the legend describing values or ranks? Say which.
- Would a change chart reveal something the classes conceal?
Quantiles are still useful when the intended question is relative position within each year. Label that purpose explicitly; don't let readers infer unchanged values from unchanged colors. With larger datasets, ties can also prevent perfectly equal-sized classes.
For country-data context, I work on Global Data Tracker. This is a standalone synthetic design exercise, not a claim about its map settings.
Method reference: Esri's classification guide distinguishes quantile bins from fixed manual bins for comparisons.
When showing changes over time, would you pair fixed-class maps with a change chart, or replace the maps altogether?