r/technology • u/CartoonistFar2036 • 5d ago
Artificial Intelligence AI bubble could burst and take global economy with it, IMF warns
https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/10/13/ai-bubble-could-burst-and-take-global-economy-with-it-imf-warns/5302781910
u/DoctahDonkey 5d ago
Best part is how there is no good outcome for this. Either the whole thing comes crashing down and we're left to sift through the ash and dust of a scorched economy, or they succeed and AI replaces jobs at such an unprecedented scale that the entire economy falls apart because no one has any money to put into said economy.
Oh, and we had no say in it either. They just pushed this tech along whether it was a good idea or not, because they're in control. Now we get to deal with the cataclysmic aftermath of however this goes.
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u/Aggravating_Teach_27 5d ago edited 4d ago
This is what I find dumbfounding about this tech 'revolution'.
Why embark in something that will destroy the economy no matter how it develops?
The only answer I've come to us that the rich no longer want to be richer. They'd rather be owners of humans and for that is not enough that they are rich, they need us poor, desperate and our labour devalued to nothingness...
This is about neo-feudalism, with the techno oligarchs as Kings and nobles.
Supporting this AI revolution is insane for any person who's not an oligarch (it's quite insane for oligarchs too, but at least they can dream of having the better seat to the dystopia they are creating).
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u/Chris_HitTheOver 5d ago
There is no “richer” once you’ve reached the perverse amounts of wealth American capitalists have.
So, logically, all that’s left is more power. We’re seeing what that becomes in real time.
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u/radioslave 5d ago
I think it's almost deeper than that in the sense of engrained capitalism. When you have earnings that need to increase every quarter, every year in order to justify a stock price, or a buyback or just the inherent definition of running of a business in a capitalist economy. We've hit a point where company valuations and P/E ratios are so insanely inflated that there's no amount of innovation that could justify them so what do you do?
Companies are handed this gift in the form of AI which is both speculative, ever expanding and has the ability to decimate your payroll to help increase your profit margin and keep feeding the machine and buy you another few years of time in the sun.
At this point everyone and their mom can tell a major economic downturn isn't a matter of 'if' but a matter of 'when' when you factor in rising inflation, US debt so out of reach that it's a meme, a USD being propped up by the price of oil and the petrodollar, bond yields, the japan carry trade eroding and fed data that people have essentially lost all trust in since the removal of the data chair and the constant revisions.
It seems like the economic implosion is essentially the bear attack theory and as long as you aren't the slowest one in the pack you can avoid being eaten. It's why we're seeing the S&P and Nasdaq more or less being propped up by the valuations of the large caps and while we're in the process of a market attempting to broaden, small caps are getting smoked in the process.
It's going to be a very interesting resolution, however it ends. It certainly seems like the powers that be are just trying to stay afloat as long as they can.
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u/rcoelho14 5d ago
This is about neo-feudalis., with the techno oligarchs as Kings and nobles
I mean, it's not like they are even trying to hide it.
They said it out loud, people like Peter Thiel and Musk follow the "teachings" of Curtis Yavin who says that they need to abolish democracy, carve up countries into territories controlled by tech bros, in a techno feudalism era, they are funding parties and movements that are trying to collapse western democracies.They couldn't be more transparent than that
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u/DesperateStock6302 5d ago
A return to slavery has always been the goal for capitalist since 1848
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u/rdunlap1 5d ago
I have a hard time disagreeing with this. I think at this point it’s pretty clear that the richest of the rich of this world are the same type of people that would own slaves if they were allowed to do so
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u/Purplociraptor 5d ago
They don't want to own humans. They want to be the only humans left. They want to be the gods to their subordinate robot population. The goal is for the poors to die off.
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u/addista 5d ago
DING DING DING. Who gives a fuck if we all starve to death if the rich people have their robots and tech to do everything?
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u/EbonBehelit 5d ago
Why embark in something that will destroy the economy no matter how it develops?
Let me put it this way: it's blind greed and stupidity.
The companies pursuing this tech know that the economy will collapse if every company replaces its entire workforce with AI. They all know this. And yet, the potential profits that AI represents are so unbelievably vast that they're all pursuing it regardless, blindly hoping that at least some of their competitors aren't doing the exact same thing.
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u/FlamboyantPirhanna 5d ago
Also we shouldn’t have allowed the stock market to basically be ‘the economy’. Why is a glorified casino the main determiner of our lives?
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u/default-username 4d ago
The stock market is not the economy. The economy is loans, bonds, revenues, cash flows, contracts, etc.
Consumer spending and wages are still a big part of the economy, but if AI works, they no longer matter to what is left of the economy.
The stock market is just a measurement of how much trust there is in the economy. Little trust means money is removed from the market, and it creates a downward spiral affecting loans, available credit, cash reserves, etc.
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u/Danthemanlavitan 4d ago
Hello, its 2008 again! The bankers are fucking you and will get away with it.
- From a jaded millennial.
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u/tismij 4d ago
When the bubble burst it will not be the billionaires going broke, we the plebs get to pay for it again.
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u/bryanthavercamp 4d ago
And yet, somehow Biden was not allowed to forgive student loans because these same banks that were given bailout money would "be hurt for not being able to collect our interest payments"....
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u/swattwenty 5d ago
Don’t threaten me with a good time
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u/mediandude 5d ago
192GB of RAM costing 200 USD or EUR would be sweet justice.
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u/userrr3 5d ago
Best I can do is bury them next to the ET Atari cartridges and double the prices for new ones
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u/rebbsitor 5d ago
Best I can do is bury them next to the ET Atari cartridges
They actually dug those up 13 years ago and auctioned some off. Guess we can look forward to that with RAM in the future.
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u/The_MAZZTer 5d ago
For context when I built my current PC a year or two before prices started going crazy it was ~$250 for 64GB. I checked a couple months ago for the same model of RAM sticks and it was up to over $900.
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u/mattindustries 5d ago
I would just love to have an upgrade to my 512GB server, but definitely not at current prices.
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u/Civil-Science-4126 5d ago edited 5d ago
At this point, these companies are fucked if they don't succeed at replacing every white collar job. I would rather a financial meltdown than them actually succeeding at creating AGI. If they create AGI under the current arms race conditions there's no way it will be aligned, ASI will emerge and then we're all fucked in a few short years.
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u/DukeOfGeek 5d ago
The fallout from their collapse is infinitely preferable to them actually completing their working shiny robotic boot to stomp on everyone's face with forever.
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u/pmjm 4d ago
I fear we could end up in a worst-case scenario. A sector collapse wouldn't mean the end of these technologies. It would set off a worldwide depression, which ironically would cause mass layoffs and replacement of expensive humans with cheap AI as much as possible.
It would allow those with the deepest pockets to swoop in and buy the remnants of the industry for pennies on the dollar and pick up right where they left off.
It's everybody else who gets fucked.
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u/ShiraCheshire 4d ago
If it helps, we’re nowhere near agi. Anyone trying to convince you otherwise is trying to sell ai to you.
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u/raptorsango 5d ago
Glad to know my kids will subsisting on soup next year for… checks notes.. I’m being told it’s for no reason at all/some weird chat bot tulip mania that became of interest after bitcoin scams couldn’t be properly scaled up.
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u/Purplociraptor 5d ago
Don't forget about NFTs
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u/RVelts 4d ago
NFTs were absolutely the best example of the Tulip Bulb Mania. Except at least with tulip bulbs you can grow a tulip.
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u/TAV63 5d ago edited 5d ago
Agree, ai companies taking a big hit would not be as bad at it sounds. Let it happen.
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u/Shades1374 5d ago
The damage will waterfall into ... a lot. It's gonna suck for more than just AI companies
That said, I still agree - and better sooner than later.
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u/willismthomp 5d ago
We can call it the great reset and rebuild things better. Let’s make lemonade with all these lemons.
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u/Actual-Feed-9739 5d ago
A global economy crash is not going to be a good time my guy. I don't know why people think this.
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u/ZincLloyd 5d ago
Crashes suck, but the longer the BS continues, the worse the crash will be. With that in mind, I understand the sentiment of getting out of the way sooner rather than later.
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u/kuz_929 5d ago
Why is it always everyone else's problem when billionaires' investments fail? Why do us peasants need to care at all about propping up their profits? It's stupid. Let them fail. Let the bubble burst.
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u/Plane_Discipline_198 5d ago
If you lose the bank a thousand dollars, that's your problem. If you lose them a million dollars, then it's their problem.
Something to that effect.
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u/Bromlife 5d ago
These companies take bonds. Even if the banks underwrite them they pretty quickly get them off their books… until they can’t. Like CoreWeave.
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u/Implausibilibuddy 5d ago
What I don't understand though is that the same stuff we needed/wanted pre AI is still going to be required after a bubble bursts. Yeah a lot of companies and banks will obliterate themselves due to the debt they've taken on to invest in it, but that doesn't mean the world will stop needing to trade stuff. And there will be banks and companies that either weathered the storm because they didn't bet on the same dead horse, or because they came into existence after the pop. Why is this such a world shattering event? Worst case scenario, couldn't we just all agree that dollars are just useless bits of paper now but these bottle caps are pretty shiny.
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u/Oh__Archie 5d ago edited 5d ago
Because we are how they became billionaires. We did the work.
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u/rkozik89 5d ago
Because index funds which includes part of your 401k have to buy up the AI-related stock because that’s how index funds work. When the AI bubble pops your 401k goes down with it. If 40% of the economy is propped up by AI stocks upto 40% of your 401k’s index funds go bust. Don’t be surprised if your 401k drops 25% in value when shit hits the fan.
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u/WonderfulVanilla9676 5d ago
At this point, f*** it. I want all these fat cats in the AI industry to collapse and there needs to be an administration in charge that will not bail them out.
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u/za72 5d ago
economy will collapse with all the bag holders and those who punched out early will pickup the pieces pennies on the dollar... I've been though a couple of these once in a lifetime economic catastrophes
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u/Rooooben 5d ago
It’s all fun until you are on a countdown until forced retirement and what you have saved is all you got for the rest of your life.
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u/broguequery 5d ago
Well that's not fun either...
Almost seems like the whole thing is a bunch of bullshit
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u/Pooleh 5d ago
I'm 40 years old and destitute. I'll never retire so I've got nothing to lose. Bring it on!
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u/PorkVacuums 5d ago
Let's be honest. They were never going to let millennials retire. They want us to work till we're dead.
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u/BigPharmaSucks 5d ago
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u/Bonhomie_111 4d ago
This is how I know an AI utopia will never exist and them trying to convince us it will is simple placation for the gullible. If a utopia was to exist, we could have it now. Instead we have billionaires giving all our drinking water to their data centers and excitedly telling us that soon we’ll all get to die at our desk.
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u/Dale_Carvello 4d ago
The billionaires have their utopia, in a way. It isn't simply that they build gates around their own, but that they actively prevent anyone outside of their likes from realizing one in any other manner. Even those who understand concepts like "contentment" and "enough", who would be happy with little, are denigrated and cast as wrong because their hands and backs should be put to work for those who will never have enough.
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u/PorkVacuums 5d ago
I run a handyman company. I should not be working until I'm 90 lol. I'm going to die climbing a ladder to change a lightbulb
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u/alphaecho4386 4d ago
Handyman death left a dent in your floors?
Call Slippies, The finest in handyman after falls removal and repair.
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u/Vimes-NW 4d ago
You laugh. During pandemic, I sat unemployed for 2 years. I ended up taking a job for 1/5 of my usual rate, just to have money coming in. I got that job because the dude apparently died. At another client site.
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u/Consistent_Lecture48 4d ago
All these ‘new poors’ will be struggling, while I have already mastered the art.
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u/kendalloremily 5d ago
my retirement plan is dying in the water wars, so whatever
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u/fruitpunchsamurai619 5d ago
Rich gets to buy stocks on discount. This is always good for the rich. This is why they always want to relax regulations and cause financial crises.
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u/iamapizza 4d ago
And if it isn't clear, the rich are part of the administration. It's in their self interest to keep these companies going.
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u/Ok-Replacement9595 5d ago
Our insurance companies and pension funds and retirement ETFs have already bailed them out. We will all hold the bag one way or another.
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u/btoned 5d ago
This. I swear do people not realize our investment accounts fund all these public companies whether directly or through ETFs.
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u/gravteck 5d ago
I would recommend everyone look at their 401k allocations. I can see the composition on one of my vanilla, managed equity funds, and its Mag7 and gang all the way down.
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u/DarkFantom 5d ago
This isn't just a singular administration problem. Literally all 3 branches of government need to be removed completely and replaced by people who either have PHD's that were earned via real results, or filled by people who haven't made more than 200k/yr in their entire lives. Our entire system of government is corrupt down to the bone and this administration has only made it too blatantly obvious to ignore.
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u/Spranktonizer 4d ago
The thing is the administrative state was run by exactly these people. Scientists, economists and people who care enough not to use their skills in private industry. But that has been systematically dismantled and that’s where we are now.
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u/thewindows95nerd 5d ago edited 5d ago
Right? Many people including myself have been laid off while having a troubling time finding new work while the world paints it as if the economy is booming as the price of many things especially RAM is just ballooning. I'd rather just have the economy tank and stop with this false pretense.
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u/likwitsnake 5d ago
Fun fact, they just updated the 'Trump Accounts' to now allow for individual stock donations, so companies like Dell, SpaceX, etc. will donate a bunch of shares then if they are ever in trouble they can claim their company being hurt and going down in value will hurt the children of America therefore they need to be supported or receive special treatment.
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u/aturretwithtourretes 5d ago
Thats the issue, the companies might fall, the employees might suffer, we might suffer... but them? Nah, golden parachute to the rescue.
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u/Sabbathius 4d ago
The thing about this AI bubble is that it can go one of two ways - it either bursts and destroys the economy, or AI actually works...and it also destroys the economy. Because working AI will annihilate the current labour structure. So whichever way this goes, economy as we know it is going to crash. The only question is, are the powers that be going to be prepared for it, or not. And if I were a betting man, I would say not.
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u/Loud-Cake-1096 4d ago
If AI works then the AI bubble is also going to burst. If the labour market is decimated, where will the money to pay for AI come from? Companies all eventually rely on consumers spending.
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u/browser_92 4d ago
K shaped economy which is already happening. Events like this make the wealthy wealthier and so they will continue to spend money and keep the economy afloat, while the working class and poor experience a completely different economy where life is unaffordable and wages stagnate.
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u/Bromance_Rayder 4d ago
Here's the simple thing I have never been able to understand. For these insane investments to ever pay off, hugely significant employment reductions would be required. Which would completely upend our basic social order. So either it fails or the world as we know it has to change more rapidly and significantly than ever before in human history?
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u/The_amazing_T 4d ago
Feels like we've 'pinned our hopes' on AI helping our society in ___ way.. -Like I get that AI can do human things quicker, but how does it "Save" us? It replaces us. It makes some things more.. efficient or cost-effective, but doesn't make our lives better in real tangible ways. A homeless person isn't helped off the streets by AI. My rent doesn't go down. I'm not getting ANY of the benefit, aside from turning in my reports quicker, which no doubt the boss will demand from here on out.
It's a fucking vampire. I didn't invite it in, but my dumb-ass cousin Elon did. And now it's gonna feast on us for.. reasons. I'm not talking about the environmental issues, which are real. I'm talking about: It's existence is in opposition to my existence.
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u/bdevi8n 4d ago
It may sometimes feel like you're screaming into the void, but you are not alone.
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u/TransfemMenace 4d ago
We could have a communist revolution and use AI to work less while living in free houses with UBI...
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u/Mivlya 4d ago
A nice thought, but unlikely. AI is a machine of capitalism, designed to further cut the cost of labor to maintain a flow of money to the top. If we had a revolution, AI would, for the most part, not be replacing any of the work that we couldn't abolish.
What's AI being used for? Not the physical labor that still needs done that we'd like to be free of. AI's being used to speed up managerial middle men, inhuman emails, and charts that would all probably be worth just abandoning; middleman office work exists to keep a minimally functional middle class to keep the lower class down. AI is used to replace artistic works, namely for advertising, but a communist world doesn't *need* that level of advertising and, ideally in a world where people aren't pressured to ALL have to work, we would have the time to make our own artistic works. What little AI does beyond these two things is very specific scientific research LLMs, which are built inhouse and not the corporate ones creating the bubble.
AI isn't sci-fi robots. It's a tool of capital to further cut into labor, particularly creative labor. A communist revolution has no need for corporate AI.
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u/Fruehlingsobst 4d ago
Fuck social order. No job, no money. No money, no trade.
So the market crashes either way.
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u/Dreaminginslowmotion 5d ago
I know a few people at the Big 5 consulting companies and their roles are exploding in AI consultants (nearly 80% of their roles for 2027). I can tell across the board it's definitely fueling money into many corporations (or going all-in on spend).
My questions are:
1) What happens to the explosion once one or two company come out the clear victors of the AI race?
2) What happens to the world if there is a devastating AI event that 100% makes humanity do an about face on the AI
3) Our CEO has said we've only hit the tip of the iceberg for the sheer power need AI datacenters have to have. This would include adding nuclear power and increasing nearly 10x what we already have put down.
All of it feels like a shaky jenga tower being built.
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u/box-art 5d ago
In Finland they took down 570 acres of forest just for one data center project. This isn't sustainable by any measure. If the AI bubble doesn't burst, then it'll consume the world.
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u/BoredTech127001 5d ago
Paperclip problem, it's all just going to be paperclips (AI data centers).
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u/_kasten_ 5d ago
If the AI bubble doesn't burst, then it'll consume the world.
Either way, it's a risk the billionaires are willing to take, having become habituated to the notion that someone will always intervene on their behalf.
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u/Barkalow 5d ago
we've only hit the tip of the iceberg for the sheer power need AI datacenters have to have
I feel like thats the next path forward though. All the companies right now are using brute force compute because its easier to stand up while they all race each other to be the next google/amazon, but obviously that can't go on forever. So it seems like making AI more efficient is going to have to be the route eventually
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u/Dreaminginslowmotion 5d ago
My wife starts interviews with a new company that is rising in venture / startup that uses ocean water waves to power floating balls for datacenters use. It was a pretty substantial amount of power they can produce as well when batched together
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u/AdCalm6208 5d ago
Wave energy has been around for a while, it's a hard one to crack properly. Tidal is working though. Make sure she asks what their runway is, a startup is risky business right now, make sure her job is actually covered and not by "potential investors".
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u/paradoxpancake 5d ago
It honestly probably needs to happen so people realize how much insider trading and illegal shit has been happening globally so that nations start cracking down on those responsible.
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u/Ghede 5d ago
Here's how the global economy works:
Rich people buy shit, they make investments, buy property, buy companies, etc.
They use the shit they buy, or their rewards for owning shit (stock options for owning a company), as collateral for loans.
The loans are debt, so they are untaxed. They are rich so they are considered 'low risk' so they get very good rates on those loans.
They use the loans to buy more shit. Anything that they own that pays a dividend goes to paying off the interest on the loan. Anything that generates an asset goes towards getting more loans.
An investment doesn't pay off? A company goes under, that's okay, they can get more to put up for collateral to replace it.
Their assets aren't really worth what someone would buy it for. They are worth whatever is needed to be useful as collateral. A company has dogshit financials? That's okay, it needs to be worth a trillion dollars because otherwise the entire finance sector collapses because they gave out trillions of dollars to a hundred billionaires backed by nothing but that fucking toilet paper they call stock. At some point, the finance sector starts buying the stock just to prop up the price for a little longer, and find ways to offload it to people who had no choice in what to buy. Bundle them up in ETFs, and 401ks. That's when it's going to collapse, when they've offloaded the risk.
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u/shortymcsteve 5d ago
How did that work out in 2008?
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u/paradoxpancake 5d ago edited 5d ago
Lead to legislation in the US that did eventually get overturned indirectly because of Citizens United. It did lead to something, and then evil started winning again.
Tale as old as time with humanity. Better than being nihilistic.
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u/Berserker76 5d ago edited 5d ago
The AI bubble bursting is not what is going to cause the global economy to collapse. The policies of the current US administration, the chaos, instability and the continued added debt (running $2T deficits annually, which will get significantly worse when the economy crashes), will be what takes the global economy down.
There is a reason the super rich have built doomsday bunkers, so they have a place to run off to when it all comes crashing down.
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u/DanNeider 4d ago
No bailouts for AI. They knew it was devastating for the economy when they did it, but it was good for specifically them. Now let it be bad for specifically them
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u/ETucck1 4d ago
Right now these companies are playing with monopoly money as all of those AI companies haven't profited yet. The question is what is it going to take for the first domino to fall? I keep hearing that we are in a bubble and I can see glimpses of it, but the truth is right now the markets continue to go higher after a few months.
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u/MayIServeYouWell 4d ago
There's actually a lot of demand for what they're building, just not at a price where it can be wildly profitable. These companies are all competing to make some kind of AI breakthrough. Whether that will elevate or destroy humanity remains to be seen.
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u/subcide 4d ago edited 4d ago
There's a bit of demand for what they're building, but more for what they're promising and have yet to deliver, but no amount of existing demand justifies the investment currently, even taking into consideration the promised solutions.
People value tokens very little, and it'll be a race to the bottom. What people are actually willing to pay for, they can't continue to sustain.
We turned on Microsoft Cowork for a week at work (a terrible AI product, to be sure) and it cost on average of $100 per week per user using it, which is nuts, so the company turned it off.
The frontier labs subscriptions discount by 5x, and when they announce you're only going to get 4x for your money instead, people are pissed. if people are pissed at only paying 25% of what your product costs, you are absolutely screwed and have a bad business model.
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u/Kamel-Red 4d ago edited 4d ago
What they're not telling you in mainstream news is that the dominos are already falling. Debt payments are being missed, rates are up, capital is still being lit on fire at alarming rates with no hope of return meeting obligations.
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u/CartoonistFar2036 5d ago
Published Tue 13 Oct 2026 // 12:44 UTC
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has become the latest financial heavyweight to warn that the AI spending frenzy could end in tears, with consequences extending well beyond the tech sector.
In its latest Global Financial Stability Report, published on Tuesday, the IMF warns that financial markets are increasingly exposed to an AI-driven correction, especially if the billions poured into the tech fail to deliver the profits investors expect.
AI investment has helped keep markets and economic growth ticking along, but the IMF fears the boom could quickly turn to bust if the promised profits fail to materialize. With tech giants borrowing billions and investors piling into the same handful of companies, a selloff could leave more than just Silicon Valley nursing a hangover.
The watchdog is also concerned about circular financing arrangements, in which AI firms act as one another's investors, financiers, and customers. These deals might help keep the AI money machine running, but they also mean financial trouble at one company could quickly become somebody else's problem.
The IMF isn't the only one getting nervous. Jefferies strategist Chris Wood has warned that America's AI spending spree could cause "massive capital destruction," with cheaper Chinese open source models threatening the returns US tech giants are counting on.
The warning also follows similar concerns raised by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which cautioned in June that the AI boom had uncomfortable similarities to previous financial bubbles. With so much money tied up in a relatively small number of tech companies, it warned that a sudden loss of investor confidence could send shockwaves through global financial markets.
As if the prospect of an AI-fueled market meltdown weren't enough, the IMF has identified two other threats to financial stability: rising government bond yields and cyberattacks. Higher yields could increase borrowing costs for governments already struggling with debt, while the latter could bring critical financial services to a grinding halt.
Banks have become increasingly reliant on the same handful of cloud providers and software suppliers, creating shared points of failure that could spread disruption across institutions. If a cyberattack took down a major bank or critical tech provider, the IMF warns the fallout could disrupt everything from payments and trading to customers accessing their deposits.
Software vendors aren't getting much of a head start either. According to the IMF, more than 70 percent of tracked vulnerabilities exploited so far in 2026 were already being abused by attackers before or on the day they were publicly disclosed, underscoring how little warning defenders may receive.
AI could make matters worse here too, as the IMF warns that increasingly capable models are giving cybercriminals more powerful tools, potentially making it easier to find and exploit vulnerabilities at speed.
Despite the gloomy outlook, the IMF isn't predicting an imminent financial collapse. It says global financial markets have remained resilient, and its stress testing suggests the banking system could withstand a severe downturn, although weaker institutions would be more exposed.
Still, the watchdog wants regulators to keep a closer eye on excessive borrowing, concentrated investments, and cyber resilience before any of these risks turn into a full-blown crisis.
For an industry promising to revolutionize the global economy, accidentally helping to crash it would be quite the plot twist.®
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u/Technical_Airline205 5d ago
Breaking news! The house of cards called sovereign debt is about to collapse.
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u/hackingdreams 5d ago
It's nice somebody is realizing that we're at 11:58 of new Great Depression. All of these companies are out over their skis and nobody actually wants to admit it.
Genuinely, who is going to be safe from this collapse? There's nowhere to hide, nothing that isn't exposed on this. They've leveraged everything, oversold themselves to the banks, and even the banks are trying to run for the hills.
The Anthropic IPO will be the beginning of the end. $2 trillion dollar valuation for a company that literally produces hot air.
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u/supercali45 5d ago
the last few days showing some cracks.. which means Monday it will pump again... the US stock market is the world's casino right now
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u/FrontLifeguard1962 5d ago
It does seem like the inflated IPOs of space x, anthropic and OpenAI are the insiders cashing out while leaving the rest of us holding the bag.
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u/Berkyjay 4d ago
That's exactly what it is. The entire dynamic has been flipped. Look at Google, Amazon, Microsoft. They all went public really early in their histories when their values were low in order to raise money to grow. Their selling point was "invest in us and you'll make money".
But now, all of the money comes from private investment and they only go IPO after years when the majority of growth has happened. They go public in order to get their RTO. They essentially swindle retail investors to take on the risk of a mature company that has already realized most of its value.
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u/Queasy_Local_7199 5d ago
What should I do? Buy gold? Ammo?
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u/RyeZuul 4d ago
I'm no expert, but it's probably time for us to crack each other's heads open and feast upon the goo inside.
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u/Maleficent_You_3448 5d ago
The alternative of AI just continuing on uninhibited, making a very select few rich while it takes more and more jobs and makes everything worse is actually the scary option. We should be praying it crashes hard, that short term pain pales in comparison to what a future based on AI could bring.
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u/GiantWackySkeleton 5d ago edited 4d ago
GENUINE QUESTION.
Why have we constructed a civilization in which the failure of an investment can threaten the well-being of people who never made that investment, when the actual resources necessary for their survival haven't disappeared?
I think the deeper tragedy is that we've built an economy in which we can accurately predict that a financial crisis will hurt millions of innocent people, but we so often discuss that vulnerability as though it's an unavoidable feature of nature rather than something human beings could choose to redesign.
EDIT:
I want to take this a little further than just asking a question.
I'm just a guy. I love voice acting, I've dabbled in animation, I love creating things, and I have a deep passion for helping people.
I'm also genuinely terrible at asking for help myself.
I've struggled. I still struggle. I'm not above any of this, and I'm certainly not immune to the circumstances I'm talking about. I know that sometimes life takes everything you've got just to keep your head above water. Sometimes getting through another day is all you can manage, and that's enough.
But I don't believe we have to resign ourselves to a world where that's the best we can hope for.
And I don't think we have to wait until we're wealthy, powerful, or have everything figured out before we can start helping each other.
So here's an invitation.
If you need someone to talk to, if you're an artist who wants to create something, if you have an idea for helping people, if you have skills you'd love to put toward something meaningful, or if you simply want to find other people who give a damn, reach out.
I don't have an organization waiting for you. I don't have a grand solution or a pile of money. I'm not promising I can fix your problems.
I can offer my time, my creativity, whatever skills I have, and a willingness to figure things out alongside other people.
Message me here. Tell me what you're working on, what you wish existed, or what you think we could do together.
This isn't just a pretty Reddit comment to me. I'm a real person, sitting on the other side of this screen, asking whether we can do something more than agree that things are broken.
Maybe we start small. Maybe we make something useful. Maybe we help one person.
But why not start reaching for each other?
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u/ContentRecording9304 5d ago
Why have we constructed a civilization where one person was allowed to have 1 trillion dollars while there is a large amount of people experiencing/dieing of hunger? Greed probably.
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u/daviddjg0033 4d ago
How do you even tax the oligarchy when Felon dropped another quarter billion + into the midterms?
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u/Lizaderp 5d ago
Cause the people with money don't care about you or me. They care about you spending money so they can make it their money. If it gets redesigned, they make less money.
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u/GiantWackySkeleton 5d ago edited 4d ago
When did we become satisfied with this?
Just consider the amount of people on this website, why don't we drive the conversation more towards the discussion of caring for one another?
We don't need their money specifically, why don't we reach for each other?
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u/SanchoPandas 5d ago
First: fuck the IMF - it's a weapon wielded by the rich to exploit the poor
Second: fuck the AI economy - it's a billionaire circlejerk run by end times fascists with bunkers
Third: invest heartily in local community - when it all crashes, your neighbors are your best bet
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u/newandgood 5d ago
wasn't the global economy ok before AI
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u/Born_Rabbit286 5d ago
It was 2022, so in a lot of places the economy was still affected by covid, it's hard to say how it would go compared to how it's going.
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u/Pristine_Speaker8191 4d ago
Instead of bailing them out, seize their assets and correct course accordingly. If you take even more money from the poor to give them it to the rich to use irresponsibly then you’re directly contributing to possible violence. Billionaires should be terrified to show their faces and if they do then that terror should be justified
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u/Maleficent-Onion-434 5d ago
Anyone with half a brain could have told you that years ago. Now, considering there's been no attempt to stop this by the powers that be, the question is, who do we hold responsible when it does, because there's no way we will allow another 08 style response.
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u/SealsEverywhere 5d ago
It doesn't matter what we "allow". The people to be held responsible have already bought the government and are above being able to held responsible
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u/aloofinthisworld 5d ago
At least in 2008 you had competent people at least trying. Now, I’m worried we don’t have competent people in charge but they are don’t even care.
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u/big_thundersquatch 5d ago edited 5d ago
At this point just let it happen. We need a new economic system. We cannot have 1% of people making more sums of money than an entire lineage of people will see in 1,000 years, and then breaking the government with it.
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u/MrStrong502 5d ago
ai has military application
they figured they could increase military spending and hide it as ai and datacentre investment
100% it's being used to store data, analyse videos and images from flock and other sources on citizens and people abroad and used to hack foreign companies, they'll take most of the compute too
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u/DTrafa 4d ago
Is the global economy good right now? Seems everyone is already feeling the pinch.
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u/DeltaFoxtrot144 5d ago
Please do this shit needs to fall and fall hard, hopefully hard enough that heads literally roll for it
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u/CliffsofRed 5d ago
I started reading about and deeper into their circular funding early last year and, holy shit, it’s nuts.
The crash is gonna be BIG. YUGE, they like to say! Everyone is saying it!
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u/Bohottie 5d ago
Who would’ve thought pumping trillions of dollars into a theoretical technology with no clear path to an ROI could be problematic?
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u/Amerpol 5d ago
My understanding is that the AI bros after loosing so much money will seek a government bailout just like in 2008 Bank bailout
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u/Pezdrake 5d ago
This needs to be a question for every candidate right now. "Will you promise not to vote to bail out AI companies and investors with taxpayers money, even to avert a financial crisis?" Doesn't matter if they promise or not because they will end up doing it. The important thing is to call it out ahead of time and get them on record so no one can pretend it was a surprise and control the narrative over the need for tight government regulation if Wall Street and returning corporate and income taxes to the traditional ones of the 50s and 60s.
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u/Elsherva7 4d ago
It will implode. It can't be sustained. There isn't room in the world for several AI platforms that do everything, and the exponential attempts to get ahead and BE that "next big thing" indefinitely.
They're all buying and building and racing each other towards a cliff edge.
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u/Ok-Replacement9595 5d ago
The bubble will pop. Credit default swaps on these companies are going nuts this week.
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u/zoroddesign 5d ago
If AI bursting ends the economy, then the economy was shit to begin with.
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u/Budget_Coffee1 4d ago
Global economy? More like cartel economy. I'll be glad to watch the bubble burst so that RAM and electronics can become affordable again
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u/WierdFinger 5d ago
You mean Trump's economy with the help of AI tech bros on top of it all.
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u/lordtyp0 5d ago
Then let it. The current elite have destroyed everything. It's time to eat them.
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u/BatMannequin 5d ago
Remember, every time someone says "the economy" you replace it with "rich people's yacht money" and then you see the truth.
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u/Arteeeeeeeeest 4d ago
It's going to pop. I use it, I know what it is, how it works and how all the companies use it. It's coming.
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u/LastoftheGreybeards 5d ago
Oh, so THIS is why they’re building secret bunkers in various locations.
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u/_14justice 4d ago
"The watchdog is also concerned about circular financing arrangements, in which AI firms act as one another's investors, financiers, and customers." Too Big to Fail. We'll see, albeit I expect Privatize Profits and Socialize Losses will be the axiom of the day.
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u/ianishomer 4d ago
Could burst is wishful thinking isn't it? It has to burst, how can all the AI companies make the profits that pay for huge data centres and ongoing working costs?
The big players OpenAi etc are spending trillions of dollars in the race to be the top dog, whilst China are using the big guys technology, plus their own, to keep up with them for a fraction of the cost.
It's when the SHTF rather than if.
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u/pattydickens 5d ago
Either it bursts and ruins the global economy or it works as intended and destroys the need for labor, which also destroys the economy.