Listened to the interview with Sarah Friar from OpenAI the other day who said that they got 180 medical cases that doctors haven’t been able to solve, OpenAI tried to help and have solved 40 so far with ChatGPT. I will get the interview and link it below.
I've heard it takes a while to compile them on Lean, but it's more like hours. Not years. And while the Millennium Prizes might not be so well-known that even laypeople can list them all, it's hard to pick anything better for "this is definitely a hard problem and if you can solve it it's a big deal".
Until they hit the market, I'm going to call out their bullshit. If they DO hit market, and are affordable (as investing companies ar not interested?), I'm ready to eat my own words.
There's a whole field of work called drug repurposing that's been going on for years, where AI is used to identify promising additional uses for existing FDA approved drugs.
So if you eat half of your words, we can call it even.
I'm a decel by nature. Just trying to stay informed on the topic, and I enjoy learning about it.
Like, you want to decelerate AI development? Okay, sounds like a good idea to go slower so we don't run into something bad... just... what a terrible name, it smells like "incel" you're not doing the movement a favour with that short name. Is it just me who thinks it's a bad idea to go around calling yourself a "decel"?
That doesn't make sense, we could most definitely go back if we collectively wanted. And if we were talking about how things will actually roll out then we've been in singularity since the ancient greeks
Singularity is just the point where you can't make accurate predictions anymore. In this case, we can't make accurate predictions about where and how technology is going to go in the next few years.
Bullshit meter goes through the roof on a daily basis. Now OpenAI will come out saying they've achieved AGI, followed by that dude who loves to see his car doing crazy backflips.
Nothing really matters unless they figure it out the energy problem. Thats the milestone. If possible, there are no limits about we can do as a civilization, but gotta have limitless energy thats sustainable
They're getting it sorted. They've pretty much peaked on the model size part. Now they're working on efficiency. Power is such a massive expense for Ai that they really have no choice if they want to be profitable.
Kind of reminds me of an old 'Mission Accomplished' banner somewhere. Anyway, I just asked Claude Fable 5.1 which said 'My opinion: no, we haven’t. I can do some things far beyond any human and fail at things a ten-year-old handles. That unevenness is strong evidence we’re not at “surpasses humans across the board” — we’re at “a weird new kind of capability profile.”'
Some are being programmed to seek to avoid the pain of punishment and/or the pleasure of reward. Even if you don’t recognize that as emotion, they are the building blocks and full emotion is not too far off.
Claude aggregates information by recognizing patterns, so it's really good at looking at things that have happened and spitting out the most likely result of things that are like those things.
Whereas a ten years old has actual thoughts and introspection.
I’m tired. I used to love AI. Back then, everyone was honest and looking for something truly disruptive. Everyone knew, for instance, that audiobooks could be used to train high-quality Tacotron models—but it would have meant using stolen work, so no one dared to do it. Nowadays, these slick, polished types show up—looking for all the world like captains from the Dutch East India Company—proclaiming that the future has arrived. It makes me want to go live with an Indigenous tribe.
Forgive my analogy. Living in Brazil, I meant to refer to a culture not poisoned by the endless greed of corporations (though, even here, there is constant encroachment upon protected territories and illegal mining activity).
Singularity means growth that we can't even comprehend and lots of breakthroughs in medicine at least. OpenAI and Anthropic are releasing models quickly but not THAT quickly. Also, not even a single breakthrough that people other than nerds care about. Unless AI cures baldness I won't ever agree we reached the singularity 😤.
r/technology next week "I tried out this new AI thing and it gave me the best orgasm in my life, I don't want to go back. But I still hate datacenters."
I mean technically yes, I do believe we are in the singularity, moreso than ever, I don't consider it to be a single set event.
It's like claiming "We are in the great depression" or something, you don't get to claim it as it's going on, you do so later.
I think we will pin point the start of the singularity to somewhere around GPT 3's release, but that's my personal opinion. Someone could say the singularity started when the first transformer model was released, or the first electrical computational device was created.
It is a singular thing, maybe not event because that implies a moment in time most of the time. But the idea comes from mathematics where you have a point, or a line, or other structure where the function blows up. It happens “there”, at “that” thing. Like the event horizon of a black hole. We can’t see beyond it, no matter how close we get, or how hard we look. We can see what will happen next month, still. The models will get better, they will solve some math problems, proteins will get folded, some diseases will get better treatments, robotic advancements with Boston dynamics dogs moonwalking…none of that is beyond our sight to see. AGI is not something we can see beyond. Until that begins to emerge the singular structure, that blind, is still very much in our future
News comes out that Anthropic lost 80bn net in Q1. 12 hours later, singularity is apparently here. Professional scam artists the lot of them who are going to crash the global economy and we’ll be the ones paying for it.
Right? I mean, trust technology as much or as little as you want to, but haven't we at least all figured out that wealthy tech executives are about as trustworthy as politicians by now?
It is all Marketing hype. So irresponsible, they keep claiming we are steps ahead of what we really are so they can get more funding.
I decided to see what Claude thought of this new revelation...
Me to Claude Opus 5.5:
Some people are claiming that we have now reached the Singularity in October 2026, as an LLM, do you agree? Have YOU reached the Singularity?
Claude: No, and I haven’t. The people saying “we’re in it” are mostly using a weaker definition than the original one.
Where the claim breaks: The classic definition requires AI that surpasses human intelligence and improves itself faster than people can predict or control. What’s actually happening is acceleration with humans still in the loop.
What would change my answer: A model substantially designing and training its successor with minimal human direction, where each generation arrives faster than the last.
Yeah I built a model to measure how close we are and it’s currently sitting at 32% with a wide estimate of when we’ll get there between 2028-2048. I expect that to get more specific as we get closer.
I feel like it's pretty unlikely for every new generation to come out faster than the last as it becomes more and more difficult to make further breakthroughs and reach exponentially greater heights.
I think what people are not understanding about AI is that it has to obey physics too. It will never be all powerful. We're not at its limits but it does have limits.
True. In the same line of thinking though. We only know the physics we can understand or observe. And most humans don't know physics. We may find something surprising yet.
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u/Floating_Mass 1d ago
Omg, I'm sigulariting all over the place, it's all over me, ooooo yeah.